Monday, April 9, 2012

What to Expect in 2011-12? The Tenders (FINAL ANALYSIS)

Dubnyk: 48 GP, 23-21-5, 2.68 GAA, .910 SP
47 GP, 42 Starts, 20-20-3, 2.67 GAA, .914 SP

Khabibulin: 15 GP, 5-8-2, 3.12 GAA, .898 SP
40 GP, 40 Starts, 12-20-7, 2.65 GAA, .910 SP

Danis: 19 GP, 8-9-2, 2.81 GAA, .907 SP 
1 GP, 0 Starts, 0-0-0, 3.75 GAA, .833 SP
OKC: 41 GP, 25-13-2, 2.13 GAA, .923 SP



You weren't even close with Khabi, he played a lot of games this season.  And that's the problem, he played too many.  Nikolai had an incredible start to the season (7-0-2 in his first 9), but came back down to earth (4-8-1 in his next 13) before falling off the face of it (1-12-4 in his last 18).  Granted, Khabi stood on his head early in the season to pick up those wins and several of his losses were not on his shoulders.  The defense in front of him was downright awful most of the time.  Not to mention, Devan Dubnyk was inconsistent to start the season.  But results matter, and Nik fizzled out pretty quickly.  The resulting situation has to be Tom Renney's greatest shortcoming this season.  He absolutely ran Khabibulin into the ground.  He should've detected the burnout about 20-25 games into his season and adjusted accordingly.  Instead the Oilers are stuck with a 39 year old goaltender who may not even be backup material...and with a year left on his contract that can't disappear (per CBA rules) and can't be moved (no one is going to trade for him).  Great.

Dubnyk showed some improvement from last season (12-13-8, 2.71 GAA, .916 SP).  Isn't he ready to take the reigns as starter?  Perhaps we'd have the answer if Renney heeded the warning signs.  Devan is still inconsistent, he's notorious for letting in soft goals and suffered from a slow start out of the gate (6-11 in his first 17 starts).  However, Dubey did pull it together in the 2nd half of the season (13-6-2 in his next 21 games).  He's improved somewhat since last season, but he needed more starts this time around.  He should've seen about 50 starts, with Khabibulin getting 20-25 and leaving the rest to someone like Yann Danis.  Again, a major mistake by Renney.  Because of it, the jury's still out on Double D.

Speaking of Yann Danis, you weren't even close on that one.  I'm surprised.  Not that I'm wrong, but that Danis only had one outing and didn't receive a call-up.  I remember thinking a weeks into the season that 19 games for him was a bit much.  Maybe 7 or 8 games would've been more reasonable, but ONE?  He had a wonderful season in OKC and deserved a chance to come up and show his stuff, especially when the Oilers went into their patented mid-season slump.  I'm dumbfounded by the handling of the goaltending situation, I really am...though with this organization, nothing should surprise me.  Stupid.  Utterly stupid.

You had this team pegged at 36-37-9 for 81 PTS.  So they finished 32-40-10 for 74 points. I wasn't that far off...although I thought that the Oilers would be in the playoff race before trailing off at the end of the season, not going on a winning streak of sorts when they'd been out of it since January.  Thing is, I truly believe the Oilers could've had a better go of it (at least in terms of finding a true starting goaltender for the future) had they handled the goaltending situation more attentively.  Inexplicable error on their part.

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